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until denver this past week. in the highly polarized e lack or ituate environment. both campaigns have strategically been pealing repealing to the respective political bases. what's been unusual about the election cycle is most voters have picked sides early. we do our polling even as right after the conventions, it looks like the final weekend of the campaign. most voters know who they support. they tell us their they are firmly committed to the candidate and the number of undecided voters has been surprisingly very, very low. single digits. it's not about persuasion. it's more about mobilization both of the conventions were like that. i think in the next three or four weeks we'll see lot more. mobilizes folks to come out because of the early voting which started in so many states. the middle is shrinking. as far as these campaigns are concerned. bash is going to talk about shortly about how there is still a middle to america once you get beyond the campaign labels. but clearly those what drive strategy in campa
until denver this past week. in the highly polarized e lack or ituate environment. both campaigns have strategically been pealing repealing to the respective political bases. what's been unusual about the election cycle is most voters have picked sides early. we do our polling even as right after the conventions, it looks like the final weekend of the campaign. most voters know who they support. they tell us their they are firmly committed to the candidate and the number of undecided voters has...
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Oct 6, 2012
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past week. in this highly polarized environment both campaigns have strategically been appealing to their respective political bases. what is unusual about this election cycle is most voters have picked sides early and lead to our polling right after the convention. looks like the final weekend of the campaign. they tell us they are firmly committed to their candidate and the number of undecided voters has been surprisingly very low. single digits. it is not about persuasion. it is about mobilization. both of the conventions were like that. in the next few weeks we will see a lot about mobilizing folks to come out particularly because of early voting which has started in so many states. the middle is shrinking as far as these campaigns are concerned. we will talk about how there is still a middle to america. once you get beyond the campaign labels but clearly those are what drive strategy in campaigns and the electoral politics. if you look at the campaign ads, in new york we are not -- we don't
past week. in this highly polarized environment both campaigns have strategically been appealing to their respective political bases. what is unusual about this election cycle is most voters have picked sides early and lead to our polling right after the convention. looks like the final weekend of the campaign. they tell us they are firmly committed to their candidate and the number of undecided voters has been surprisingly very low. single digits. it is not about persuasion. it is about...
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president obama gave a nod, he knew what had happened. it was a subtle use. >> greta: how important do you think the vice-presidential debate is? >> i continuing it will be important for the week, in that is -- it is the only show in town. there is no other presidential debate. so for the next week, it will be vitally important, it's the only show in town. people will be watching it. in the end, i don't think it's going to play much. i don't think there is a history of presidential debates, let alone, vice-presidential debates. >> greta: paying attention to the heart beat. >> i tend to agree but i do think have you early voting and people are voting every day. so whether or not, you know, it's all about the momentum at this point. moment's changing on a daily basis from, debate to jobs numbers. this is the next big thing. if you are losing the next big thing, you are losing that day, that week. >> republicans think that paul ryan will just clean joe biden's clock. they think there is no contest here -- >> greta: i wouldn't think that. boy
president obama gave a nod, he knew what had happened. it was a subtle use. >> greta: how important do you think the vice-presidential debate is? >> i continuing it will be important for the week, in that is -- it is the only show in town. there is no other presidential debate. so for the next week, it will be vitally important, it's the only show in town. people will be watching it. in the end, i don't think it's going to play much. i don't think there is a history of presidential...
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Oct 5, 2012
10/12
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joining it's retrievable by obama. i don't think you get a second chance to make a first impression. and i think that romney really scored. i thought when he explained to people that tax cut on the rich would not be on the rich, it was a tax increase on the rich, it was a tax increase on small business employers and they employ 50% of the american workforce. by raising their taxes, you are undermining their ability to create be jos. that was brilliant. i thought that really, he took away, all kinds of arguments from obama. while obama can wait until the performance wears off and people forget how stumbling and hesitant and detached he was, what will remain is the ground that he ceded to romney. >> greta: i thought it was significant that 67 million people watched this, the largest number since i think 1992. chfts a measurement to -- which was a measurement to me of the enthusiasm for the election. i don't know which way it will fall. but it showed interest by the country. >> i think the same reason that they watched it
joining it's retrievable by obama. i don't think you get a second chance to make a first impression. and i think that romney really scored. i thought when he explained to people that tax cut on the rich would not be on the rich, it was a tax increase on the rich, it was a tax increase on small business employers and they employ 50% of the american workforce. by raising their taxes, you are undermining their ability to create be jos. that was brilliant. i thought that really, he took away, all...
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his second stem winder in a week. obama supporters praised those speeches. now it appears one show uncovered a new tour biden's starting. >> this summer, don't miss your chance to see america's funniest number two. joe biden, vp of comedy. >> those walls are often thin. i wonder how the hell my parents did it. that is different story. >> every laugh. >> barak says, three-letter word, j, o, b, s, jobs. >> every gaffe. >> god rest her soul and, although she is, your mom is still alive. it was your dad passed. god bless her soul. >> the joe biden vp of comedy tour. it will have. p your pants laughing. >> wasn't us. thanks for inviting us into your home tonight. it is not that easy this time of year for reporters who get sent out to cover the winter weather. sometimes when covering the dangers of shreaders and cars on slick roads it is not just the cars that are a danger. >> we know it will not get any better. in fact it will probably get worse as long as this corridor is open. you saw the car go behind me. buses are coming through here. >> because of your repor
his second stem winder in a week. obama supporters praised those speeches. now it appears one show uncovered a new tour biden's starting. >> this summer, don't miss your chance to see america's funniest number two. joe biden, vp of comedy. >> those walls are often thin. i wonder how the hell my parents did it. that is different story. >> every laugh. >> barak says, three-letter word, j, o, b, s, jobs. >> every gaffe. >> god rest her soul and, although she is,...
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i am less interested in what this says in the debates but whoever wins in the week or two after the election. that is the time to step up and do the broader leadership. >> what would you like your president obama said? -- to hear president obama say? >> the we're not want of a deal that has revenues and spending in the biggest obstacle is on the revenue side, and i do believe my perception is correct, and that is republicans continue to believe at the end of the day democrats will reluctant then as they did in 2011 and 2010. one of the things the president has to do is make it crystal clear he is serious and will not accept a deal, but does not have revenues and spending. i think that when that becomes accepted,, that is when we go into january. the sooner that is believed, that lays the predicate for both sides to get a bipartisan deal. >> i want to follow up on a question or issue that the raised, and it is about behavioral response to the looming fiscal clip. you suggested we are already starting to see response. >> i think so. everyone is credit -- incredibly myopic.tly i think that is r
i am less interested in what this says in the debates but whoever wins in the week or two after the election. that is the time to step up and do the broader leadership. >> what would you like your president obama said? -- to hear president obama say? >> the we're not want of a deal that has revenues and spending in the biggest obstacle is on the revenue side, and i do believe my perception is correct, and that is republicans continue to believe at the end of the day democrats will...
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obama: well, for 18 months he's been running on this tax plan, and now, five weeks before the election, he's saying his big, bold idea is never mind. and the fact is if you are lowering the rates the way you describe, governor, then it is not possible to come up with enough deductions and loopholes that only effect high income individuals to avoid either raising the deficit or burdening the middle class. it's, it's math. it's arithmetic. now, governor romney and i do share a deep interest in encouraging small business growth. so at the same time that my tax plan has already lowered taxes for 98% of families, i also lowered taxes for small businesses 18 times. and what i want to do is continue the tax rates, the tax cuts that we put into place for small businesses and families. but i have said that for incomes over $250,000 a year that we should go back to the rates that we had when bill clinton was president, when we created 23 million new jobs, went from deficit to surplus and created a whole lot of millionaires to boot. and the reason this is important is because by doing that, we ca
obama: well, for 18 months he's been running on this tax plan, and now, five weeks before the election, he's saying his big, bold idea is never mind. and the fact is if you are lowering the rates the way you describe, governor, then it is not possible to come up with enough deductions and loopholes that only effect high income individuals to avoid either raising the deficit or burdening the middle class. it's, it's math. it's arithmetic. now, governor romney and i do share a deep interest in...
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romney's favorability is moving up, obama's are moving down. mitt romney's winning independents. >> it is just amazing how quickly narratives change in this election. last week, it was, you know, doomsday for romney, then the debate happened. who knows what it's going to be next week. is it still wide open? >> i think it's moved from a race that was heavily tilted toward obama, the president was just beating romney as a campaigner, and the debate has now made it much more of a horse race, and we're likely to see fluidity right to the end and the win may go because we see these numbers move three, four points on a debate, it may be a couple points on the unemployment numbers. the win may go to the guy who has the last big play. who has the last big favorable play. i don't think these debates are fool's gold. i know cornell wouldn't have said that if obama had won. i think they were really important turning point but it's turned it into a much, much closer race. >> cornell, ari, david, thank you. fascinating stuff. >> thank you. >>> let us know w
romney's favorability is moving up, obama's are moving down. mitt romney's winning independents. >> it is just amazing how quickly narratives change in this election. last week, it was, you know, doomsday for romney, then the debate happened. who knows what it's going to be next week. is it still wide open? >> i think it's moved from a race that was heavily tilted toward obama, the president was just beating romney as a campaigner, and the debate has now made it much more of a horse...
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president obama, the clear favorite over mitt romney, leading 70% to 26%. you can fairly say that's not even close and it is well outside the margin of error and that's critical because you know there is a saying that there is power in numbers. at least 12.2 million people expected to show up at the polls on election day. but that's barely half of latinos who are eligible to vote. and it could come down to location, location, location. the hispanic vote could be the deciding factor in several states, including the swing state of nevada. which is where miguel marquez takes us in the battle to win their vote. >> reporter: it might sound like mexico. but this is the fight for the white house. welcome to washo county, nevada, the front line in this battleground state. washo county's 250,000 voters are expected to decide whether the nevada goes blue or red. and latinos, about 30,000 votes here, could make the critical difference in a race that could come down to a few thousand votes. here's how nevada's 1.4 million votes break down and why washo is a battlegroun
president obama, the clear favorite over mitt romney, leading 70% to 26%. you can fairly say that's not even close and it is well outside the margin of error and that's critical because you know there is a saying that there is power in numbers. at least 12.2 million people expected to show up at the polls on election day. but that's barely half of latinos who are eligible to vote. and it could come down to location, location, location. the hispanic vote could be the deciding factor in several...
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exactly four weeks from election day, mitt romney leads president obama fors the first time in some post-debate polls. romney's biggest gains in michigan andmo
exactly four weeks from election day, mitt romney leads president obama fors the first time in some post-debate polls. romney's biggest gains in michigan andmo
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. >> ari, before last week, president obama was showing strong signs of improvement on the economy, closing the gap in most polls. but i want to show you a number. the pew poll shows that 54% of registered voters agree with the phrase doubt that obama knows how to turn the economy around. what do you make of that? >> that's been consistent, and it's been mitt romney's hope. if this is an election about the state of the economy and whether the president is partially or enough to blame for the bad economy, he's going to lose. that's why you see the president has been launching an attack against bain and other things that he was doing. so that's been the weakness and the numbers, too, that i'm looking for on the inside the polls are mitt romney's attributes and his ratings among independents because forget whether the polls are skewed for ds or rs, as long as mitt romney keeps winning independents, chances are mitt romney's going to win. in this pew poll, he won independents today, having nothing to do with whether it's skewed one party or the other. that's something to keep your eye on. romne
. >> ari, before last week, president obama was showing strong signs of improvement on the economy, closing the gap in most polls. but i want to show you a number. the pew poll shows that 54% of registered voters agree with the phrase doubt that obama knows how to turn the economy around. what do you make of that? >> that's been consistent, and it's been mitt romney's hope. if this is an election about the state of the economy and whether the president is partially or enough to...
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either couldn't or wouldn't do last week against mitt romney. >> right. professor reich, paul ryan is known for being an encyclopedia of numbers but can he effectively counter headlines like this one today, "gm to add 2,000 jobs in michigan"? if this race comes down to ohio and the auto rescue plays a major role there, that's a tough headline to counter for mr. ryan, isn't it? >> it certainly is. and what people in ohio and in the midwest generally know is the auto bailouts were critically important. ryan and romney said no to the auto bailouts and the president and the vice president said yes in the face of a lot of criticism and they have been proven right. paul ryan is an ideologue. he has a record and joe biden can pick on that record. joe biden can say to paul ryan, that $716 billion that you and romney keep on saying we are robbing from medicare, we are not robbing from medicare. we're actually extending the life of medicare. you, ryan, you use that 7$716 billion in your budget plan and yet you put it in there based upon you actually turning medicar
either couldn't or wouldn't do last week against mitt romney. >> right. professor reich, paul ryan is known for being an encyclopedia of numbers but can he effectively counter headlines like this one today, "gm to add 2,000 jobs in michigan"? if this race comes down to ohio and the auto rescue plays a major role there, that's a tough headline to counter for mr. ryan, isn't it? >> it certainly is. and what people in ohio and in the midwest generally know is the auto...
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as i said, of course vice president biden is spending the week at his home. but paul ryan, i would point out, has gone to his home in janisville, wisconsin, fairly frequently as being picked as romney's running mate so he can do this debate prep. but i would say the expectations are much higher for paul ryan going into the debate than they are for joe biden, which, as we know, when expectations are higher, then that candidate can tend to have a bigger problem. so i think joe biden probably will outperform the expectations for him on thursday night. >> well, to both of you, what are paul ryan's strengths and weaknesses going into this debate? >> i think probably his strengths is that he is a fresh face. that gives a lot of opportunity coming into something where you can introduce yourself to the country. and on a big stage, the downside i think for paul vine the inexperience on such a stage. he's really not only been on the national stage debating, but even on a congressional level, he hasn't had a competitive race since his first one in 1996. so i think he's
as i said, of course vice president biden is spending the week at his home. but paul ryan, i would point out, has gone to his home in janisville, wisconsin, fairly frequently as being picked as romney's running mate so he can do this debate prep. but i would say the expectations are much higher for paul ryan going into the debate than they are for joe biden, which, as we know, when expectations are higher, then that candidate can tend to have a bigger problem. so i think joe biden probably will...
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hi, this is barack obama. how are you? >>> final for the "your business" entrepreneur evident week. andrew rosenwalk is the fourth generation owner of rosenwalk tanks. they are shaped by hand with half century old tools. he said you don't throw out what works. you just build upon it. for more watch "your business" this sunday morning at 7:30 on msnbc. or get the yard ready for cool an energy weather?n to size? the answer? a lot less. the great american fix-up is going on now... ...with new projects every week and big savings every day. so you can do what needs to be done. today. more saving. more doing. that's the power of the home depot. right now, owens corning ecotouch attik insulation is only $11.87 a roll. >>> a pennsylvania judge has dealt a serious blow to republicans who hoped that a tough voter i.d. law might help them capture the state's 20 electoral college votes. the judge's ruling blocks the law from going into effect this year, but for now does not strike down the law itself. nbc news's justice correspondent pete williams joins us now. pete, good afternoon. what did th
hi, this is barack obama. how are you? >>> final for the "your business" entrepreneur evident week. andrew rosenwalk is the fourth generation owner of rosenwalk tanks. they are shaped by hand with half century old tools. he said you don't throw out what works. you just build upon it. for more watch "your business" this sunday morning at 7:30 on msnbc. or get the yard ready for cool an energy weather?n to size? the answer? a lot less. the great american fix-up is...
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Oct 7, 2012
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barack obama was saying we need more troops there. again, we spend in three weeks on combat missions in iraq, more than we spent in the entire time we have been in afghanistan. that will change in a barack obama administration. >> senator, you have quite a record, this is the next question here, of being an interventionist. you argued for intervention in bosnia and kosovo, initially in iraq and pakistan and now in darfur, putting u.s. troops on the ground. boots on the ground. is this something the american public has the stomach for? >> i think the american public has the stomach for success. my recommendations on bosnia. i admit i was the first one to recommend it. they saved tens of thousands of lives. and initially john mccain opposed it along with a lot of other people. but the end result was it worked. look what we did in bosnia. we took serbs, croats and bosniaks, being told by everyone, i was told by everyone that this would mean that they had been killing each other for a thousand years, it would never work. there's a relativ
barack obama was saying we need more troops there. again, we spend in three weeks on combat missions in iraq, more than we spent in the entire time we have been in afghanistan. that will change in a barack obama administration. >> senator, you have quite a record, this is the next question here, of being an interventionist. you argued for intervention in bosnia and kosovo, initially in iraq and pakistan and now in darfur, putting u.s. troops on the ground. boots on the ground. is this...
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to turn this around for romney in the final weeks. what we're seeing now i think is that may not be the case and the october surprise everyone always talks about is, in fact, that we're back where we were in the spring. it's a very close race. >> and in fact, to the point of both of the campaigns, they've been saying all along they thought in the end this was going to be a very tight race, but some of the numbers that really jump out for me, jackie, are enthusiasm and engagement. 67% of romney's supporters now back him strongly. 82% say they're giving a lot of thought to this election. this was a guy who going into his convention, and not the most successful convention, either, was still having trouble getting people really excited about his campaign. has he turned that around? >> you know, there's two things here. i mean, we talked about this all the way going up to the debate how important that debate was, and it was very important for mitt romney, and now we're seeing the benefits for him, that he had a really good debate. the othe
to turn this around for romney in the final weeks. what we're seeing now i think is that may not be the case and the october surprise everyone always talks about is, in fact, that we're back where we were in the spring. it's a very close race. >> and in fact, to the point of both of the campaigns, they've been saying all along they thought in the end this was going to be a very tight race, but some of the numbers that really jump out for me, jackie, are enthusiasm and engagement. 67% of...
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romney at 49% and obama at 47. the real clear politics average there a dead even 47 each. one that s a state war lot of seniors reside and a lot of folks worry about issues of medty care and medicaid. romney and ryan spending a lot of time there in the sunshine state. how critical will that one be? >> absolutely. rean took his mom there as you will recall. >> shannon: to the develop lajeunesses. villages. a state where there has been a lot of change. an increasing number of latinos now playing between orlando and tampa where the convention was held and then, of course, the seniors. so and those two demographics will be critical and that is high it is to hard to predict. right now the polling is totally even. >> what do you think of the issue of immigration? juan note there's is a high hispanic population in florida and a number of other critical key states. not something we heard about a lot. they are still three debates ahead. do you think immigration is something that will sway voters in florida? >> i think a lot of people in florida care about immigration issue. both ca
romney at 49% and obama at 47. the real clear politics average there a dead even 47 each. one that s a state war lot of seniors reside and a lot of folks worry about issues of medty care and medicaid. romney and ryan spending a lot of time there in the sunshine state. how critical will that one be? >> absolutely. rean took his mom there as you will recall. >> shannon: to the develop lajeunesses. villages. a state where there has been a lot of change. an increasing number of latinos...
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how many times did obama miss in the debate this week to pin romney down on the specific question of okay, you want to cut taxes across the board, you want to be deficit neutral and you have a broad promise to close loopholes and deductions. let's spell ought out what the deductions are. let's specify mitt romney which ones you say you'll go after and which ones you'll protect. biden is really -- i think you're right. ryan we see in this campaign, interviews he had something new. follow-up questions. >> when we come back, we're going to talk more about this. we know there's a problem of biden bromance. i want to know whether or not paul ryan is willing to go hard in for mitt romney. i'm going to gargle during the break. or get the yard ready for cool an energy weather?n to size? the answer? a lot less. the great american fix-up is going on now... ...with new projects every week and big savings every day. so you can do what needs to be done. today. more saving. more doing. that's the power of the home depot. right now, owens corning ecotouch attik insulation is only $11.87 a roll. and
how many times did obama miss in the debate this week to pin romney down on the specific question of okay, you want to cut taxes across the board, you want to be deficit neutral and you have a broad promise to close loopholes and deductions. let's spell ought out what the deductions are. let's specify mitt romney which ones you say you'll go after and which ones you'll protect. biden is really -- i think you're right. ryan we see in this campaign, interviews he had something new. follow-up...
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weeks. no mention of that. no mention of bain capital. no mention of the tax returns. no mention of outsourcing. and so it seems to me that the president is going to have to look for opportunities, which by the way i think mitt romney handed him last night, but he just didn't seem to hear them. >> he wasn't either prepared or didn't want to get into that kind of debate. >> right. >> so what did romney do last night that we probably haven't seen before? >> well, i think he managed to do a couple of things really well. and i want to play this one bite for you then we can talk about it. >> i just don't know how the president could have come into office facing 23 million people out of work, rising unemployment, an economic crisis at the kitchen table and spend his energy and passion for two years fighting for obama care instead of fighting for jobs for the american people. it has killed jobs. >> the big thing he did is that he seemed to be able to relate almost every answer to job creation. and
weeks. no mention of that. no mention of bain capital. no mention of the tax returns. no mention of outsourcing. and so it seems to me that the president is going to have to look for opportunities, which by the way i think mitt romney handed him last night, but he just didn't seem to hear them. >> he wasn't either prepared or didn't want to get into that kind of debate. >> right. >> so what did romney do last night that we probably haven't seen before? >> well, i think...
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barack obama was saying we need more troops there. again, we spend in three weeks on combat missions in iraq, more than we spent in the entire time we have been in afghanistan. that will change in a barack obama administration. >> senator, you have quite a record, this is the next question here, of being an interventionist. you argued for intervention in bosnia and kosovo, initially in iraq and pakistan and now in darfur, putting u.s. troops on the ground. boots on the ground. is this something the american public has the stomach for? >> i think the american public has the stomach for success. my recommendations on bosnia. i admit i was the first one to recommend it. they saved tens of thousands of lives. and initially john mccain opposed it along with a lot of other people. but the end result was it worked. look what we did in bosnia. we took serbs, croats and bosniaks, being told by everyone, i was told by everyone that this would mean that they had been fighting and killing each other for a thousand years, it would never work. ther
barack obama was saying we need more troops there. again, we spend in three weeks on combat missions in iraq, more than we spent in the entire time we have been in afghanistan. that will change in a barack obama administration. >> senator, you have quite a record, this is the next question here, of being an interventionist. you argued for intervention in bosnia and kosovo, initially in iraq and pakistan and now in darfur, putting u.s. troops on the ground. boots on the ground. is this...
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first presidential debate this past week. the showdown was not a zinger fest exactly it did have memorable lines. >> congratulations to you, mr. president on your anniversary. i'm sure this was the most romantic place you could imagine here with me. >> at some point, i think the american people have to ask themselves is the reason that governor romney is keeping all these plans to replace. >> i have got five boys. i'm used to people saying something that's not always true but keep on repeating it and hoping i will believe it. that's not always the case. i have a friend that says you don't only pick the winners and the losers, you pick the losers. >> the last point i would make. >> your two minutes is up. >> i had 5 seconds before you interrupted me. [ laughter ] >> was this a game changer and how does it compare to memorable moments from past debates. let's bring in presidential historian nick ragone he joins us from washington. hi, nick. >> hi, alli. >> we're interested in getting your take on wednesday night's debate what y
first presidential debate this past week. the showdown was not a zinger fest exactly it did have memorable lines. >> congratulations to you, mr. president on your anniversary. i'm sure this was the most romantic place you could imagine here with me. >> at some point, i think the american people have to ask themselves is the reason that governor romney is keeping all these plans to replace. >> i have got five boys. i'm used to people saying something that's not always true but...
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many people are critical of the polling last week. if you're critical last week, you can't embrace them this week. here is charles cars. >> it's very felling, the pugh poll has romney head slightly beyond the margin of error. we were talking about the ones who are ex steamily likely to vote. romney among all the voters are extremely likely to vote, is up by 6 and three weeks ago he was down by 3. that's a nine-point swing among people who surely will be out there on election day. so i think right now the race is tied with romney still, i think, having some of the momentum from the debate and i think the rest of this story will be determined by the remaining debates. >> brian: i think what's interesting is that not only did he move ahead in most of the polls, and almost everybody, including president obama agrees that he lost debate. president obama has done after and all his people calling him a liar is unprecedented. >> steve: that's desperate. >> brian: it's not with a reagan did after he lost or george bush. i went back and asked t
many people are critical of the polling last week. if you're critical last week, you can't embrace them this week. here is charles cars. >> it's very felling, the pugh poll has romney head slightly beyond the margin of error. we were talking about the ones who are ex steamily likely to vote. romney among all the voters are extremely likely to vote, is up by 6 and three weeks ago he was down by 3. that's a nine-point swing among people who surely will be out there on election day. so i...